RSS订阅 加入收藏  设为首页
北京赛车公式赢钱方法

北京赛车公式赢钱方法:Hing Funds: The market fell by nearly 20% How should the market operate?

时间:2018/6/27 18:51:03  作者:  来源:  浏览:0  评论:0
内容摘要: Since the beginning of the year, the market has experienced fierce market fluctuations. From January 26, 2018 until June 25, 2018, the Shan...

Since the beginning of the year, the market has experienced fierce market fluctuations. From January 26, 2018 until June 25, 2018, the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 account has fallen by a total of 18.43%, which is the sharpest fall since the beginning of 2016.

\n?

Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 trend performance in recent years

市场下跌近20%,加仓良机还是至暗时刻?

(Data as of: 2018.06.25)

Whether to enter the market or to "dark moment"?

\n?

At this point in time, many investors are concerned that it is now "bottom" to enter the market by adding positions. Or is it the beginning of a "dark moment"? At this time, is it possible for the funds actively managed by the investment to obtain excess returns? From a professional investor's point of view, timing investment is a very difficult issue. What we can do is learn from past experience how to correctly face the market fluctuations.

\n?

Judging from the past data, except for the two rounds of super bull markets in 2007 and 2015, the volatility of the stock market is relatively large and small, and there are usually several fluctuations within a year. In the face of uncertainties in market volatility, whether to hand over assets to professional investment institutions will outperform the market index. From the end of 2003 to June 25, 2018, the proportion of partial shares hybrid fund , which was actively managed by the representatives, rose 527.70%. During the same period, the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 only gained 202.07%, creating an excess return of 325.64%, and actively managing partial shares. The hybrid fund still has the ability to invest beyond the market index.

\n?

partial stock funds CSI 300 Index and compare

市场下跌近20%,加仓良机还是至暗时刻?

(Data as of: 2018.06.25)

this point in time should buy partial shares mixed fund it?

\n?

In the face of such a market, we can look at the extent of market decline from a statistical point of view. Here we use the largest retracement as a key measure of the current round of decline. The current round of decline began on January 26, 2018. As of June 25, 2018, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index had fallen by nearly 20% in five months. According to the data of the current round of decline, we calculated in a dynamic manner. From June 1, 2004 to June 25, 2018, the largest retreat occurred in statistics within the first five months of each time point. At 20%, if you invest in a partial-share hybrid fund index, the probability of positive returns in the next year, two years, and three years will be the average return and the median rate of return.

\n?

After the calculation under the above conditions, we were surprised to find that the probability that the partial stock hybrid fund index is a positive rate of return after one year, two years, and three years is 70.09%, 80.23 % and 93.15%, the average rate of return was 12.81%, 30.90% and 76.94%, the median rate of return was 7.20%, 18.18% and 30.27%. First of all, it is obvious that the probability of gaining positive returns is greater than 50%, and the probability of positive returns increases as time goes by; second, the median rate of return and the median rate of return also change over time. high.

\n?
市场下跌近20%,加仓良机还是至暗时刻?

(Data as of: 2018.06.25)

In-depth analysis, there will be such results mainly from three reasons.

\n?

1. The maximum retreat of more than 20% does not occur in the long-term. From June 1, 2004, June 1, 2004, the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 Index recorded the largest retracement in the last five months of 779 days from June 25, 2018, which exceeded 20%, accounting for 15.16% of the 5 138 days. Long-term point of view is relatively low;

\n?

2. Partial-share hybrid funds have the ability to create excess returns. Since the timing of our investment in the partial stock hybrid fund index is based on the largest retracement of the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 index, it is true that in the mid-to-long term, we can surpass the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by investing in partial-share hybrid funds at relatively low prices in the market. The excess return;

\n?

3. Long-term investment can create more value. With the extension of the time interval, the probability of positive return increased from 70.09% after one year to 93.15% after three years. The average rate of return also increased from 12.81% after one year to 76.94% after three years.

\n?

According to statistics, the largest retracement of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index over 5 months in excess of 20% is indeed the time when the volatility is relatively large. At this time, the partial stock hybrid fund that can create excess returns will participate in this situation. The A-share market holds a longer period of time and has a higher probability of gaining positive returns.


相关评论

本类更新

本类推荐

本类排行

本站所有站内信息仅供娱乐参考,不作任何商业用途,不以营利为目的,专注分享快乐,欢迎收藏本站!
所有信息均来自:百度一下 (北京赛车冠军稳赢法)
豫ICP备134630号