
北京赛车公式赢钱方法:Hing Funds: The market fell by nearly 20% How should the market operate?
时间：2018/6/27 18:51:03 作者： 来源： 浏览：0 评论：0内容摘要： Since the beginning of the year, the market has experienced fierce market fluctuations. From January 26, 2018 until June 25, 2018, the Shan...Since the beginning of the year, the market has experienced fierce market fluctuations. From January 26, 2018 until June 25, 2018, the ShanghaiShenzhen 300 account has fallen by a total of 18.43%, which is the sharpest fall since the beginning of 2016.
\n?Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 trend performance in recent years
(Data as of: 2018.06.25)
Whether to enter the market or to "dark moment"?
\n?At this point in time, many investors are concerned that it is now "bottom" to enter the market by adding positions. Or is it the beginning of a "dark moment"? At this time, is it possible for the funds actively managed by the investment to obtain excess returns? From a professional investor's point of view, timing investment is a very difficult issue. What we can do is learn from past experience how to correctly face the market fluctuations.
\n?Judging from the past data, except for the two rounds of super bull markets in 2007 and 2015, the volatility of the stock market is relatively large and small, and there are usually several fluctuations within a year. In the face of uncertainties in market volatility, whether to hand over assets to professional investment institutions will outperform the market index. From the end of 2003 to June 25, 2018, the proportion of partial shares hybrid fund , which was actively managed by the representatives, rose 527.70%. During the same period, the ShanghaiShenzhen 300 only gained 202.07%, creating an excess return of 325.64%, and actively managing partial shares. The hybrid fund still has the ability to invest beyond the market index.
\n?partial stock funds CSI 300 Index and compare
(Data as of: 2018.06.25)
this point in time should buy partial shares mixed fund it?
\n?In the face of such a market, we can look at the extent of market decline from a statistical point of view. Here we use the largest retracement as a key measure of the current round of decline. The current round of decline began on January 26, 2018. As of June 25, 2018, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index had fallen by nearly 20% in five months. According to the data of the current round of decline, we calculated in a dynamic manner. From June 1, 2004 to June 25, 2018, the largest retreat occurred in statistics within the first five months of each time point. At 20%, if you invest in a partialshare hybrid fund index, the probability of positive returns in the next year, two years, and three years will be the average return and the median rate of return.
\n?After the calculation under the above conditions, we were surprised to find that the probability that the partial stock hybrid fund index is a positive rate of return after one year, two years, and three years is 70.09%, 80.23 % and 93.15%, the average rate of return was 12.81%, 30.90% and 76.94%, the median rate of return was 7.20%, 18.18% and 30.27%. First of all, it is obvious that the probability of gaining positive returns is greater than 50%, and the probability of positive returns increases as time goes by; second, the median rate of return and the median rate of return also change over time. high.
\n?(Data as of: 2018.06.25)
Indepth analysis, there will be such results mainly from three reasons.
\n?1. The maximum retreat of more than 20% does not occur in the longterm. From June 1, 2004, June 1, 2004, the ShanghaiShenzhen 300 Index recorded the largest retracement in the last five months of 779 days from June 25, 2018, which exceeded 20%, accounting for 15.16% of the 5 138 days. Longterm point of view is relatively low;
\n?2. Partialshare hybrid funds have the ability to create excess returns. Since the timing of our investment in the partial stock hybrid fund index is based on the largest retracement of the ShanghaiShenzhen 300 index, it is true that in the midtolong term, we can surpass the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by investing in partialshare hybrid funds at relatively low prices in the market. The excess return;
\n?3. Longterm investment can create more value. With the extension of the time interval, the probability of positive return increased from 70.09% after one year to 93.15% after three years. The average rate of return also increased from 12.81% after one year to 76.94% after three years.
\n?According to statistics, the largest retracement of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index over 5 months in excess of 20% is indeed the time when the volatility is relatively large. At this time, the partial stock hybrid fund that can create excess returns will participate in this situation. The Ashare market holds a longer period of time and has a higher probability of gaining positive returns.
上一篇：没有了
下一篇：北京赛车公式赢钱方法:广西融安九成贫困户完成家庭医生签约
 相关评论
本类更新

627北京赛车公式赢钱方法:Hing Funds: The market fell by nearly 20% How should the market operate?

623北京赛车公式赢钱方法:广西融安九成贫困户完成家庭医生签约

623北京赛车公式赢钱方法:[中国梦实践者]八旬老党员王宝珍一生做好事 被群众称为“活雷锋”

67北京赛车公式赢钱方法:乐金健康获融捷集团举牌 持股达5.66%

63北京赛车公式赢钱方法:铁人三项亚洲杯赛泰州开赛 中国选手获女子优秀组冠军

61北京赛车公式赢钱方法:天津市“诚信经营承诺示范店”活动正式启动

531北京赛车公式赢钱方法:宝丰农商银行深入开展宪法宣传 增强全民法治观念

526北京赛车公式赢钱方法:墨西哥南部地区发生5.2级地震 震源深度48.3公里

521北京赛车公式赢钱方法:结构性存款快速扩张成爆款 业内人士：强监管在路上

519北京赛车公式赢钱方法:陆奇“下船”
本类推荐
本类排行

114北京赛车公式赢钱方法:从赵丽颖杨幂到李易峰鹿晗，看眼睛识人，这些艺人你能认出谁来？

116北京赛车公式赢钱方法:纠正“假旅游真地产”行业乱象

115北京赛车公式赢钱方法:“医闹教师”果真不存在师德问题？

117北京赛车公式赢钱方法:湖南破获两起电信诈骗案?抓获96人冻结568万元

120北京赛车公式赢钱方法:18日起 乘坐东航航班能连WiFi玩手机了

125北京赛车公式赢钱方法:贵州构建“双创”平台促进工业经济转型升级

127北京赛车公式赢钱方法:去年全国300城土地收入破4万亿同比增加36%

129北京赛车公式赢钱方法:才 命

129北京赛车公式赢钱方法:全市煤炭企业在省外办矿31处

21北京赛车公式赢钱方法:男子上门索债被留下喝酒?酒后滋事打伤主人